hindsight bias 事后聪明偏向
- Hindsight bias is a tendency to view event outcomes in hindsight as more inevitable or foreseeable than they appeared in foresight.
后见之明偏差是指在事后看待事件结果时,会觉得事件结果比事前预测时更不可避免、更容易预见的倾向。 - But Posner's own solution for preventing or reducing the probability of future financial crises is a grand example of hindsight bias.
但是,珀斯诺尔自己提出的防止未来金融危机或降低其发生几率的解决办法也是一种宏大的事后聪明偏向。 - Hindsight bias refers to the phenomenon that once learning the outcome of an event or the answer to a question, individuals tend to inflate what could have been predicted in foresight.
后见之明偏误是指在得知事件结果之后,人们会忽略结果信息的影响,而高估自己能正确预测事情发生几率的倾向。
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